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LLMs, GenAI, RAG, agents, evaluation · insight-0517

Give the model a scored way to abstain, or your eval rewards confident guessing

Evidence type
practitioner heuristic
Difficulty
medium
Roles
Applied AI, Data scientist
Industries
insurance, banking, aviation

Summary: situation, action, reason, boundary

  1. Situation

    An eval for a policy assistant scores answers only as right or wrong, so a reply of insufficient information counts as wrong.

  2. Action

    Add unanswerable items, allow an explicit insufficient-information reply, and score three outcomes (correct, abstained, wrong), penalising wrong answers more than abstentions in line with business cost.

  3. Reason

    Recent analysis argues that grading which penalises uncertainty rewards guessing, which helps explain why hallucinations persist.

  4. Boundary

    Policy, compliance, finance, health and customer-facing Q&A.

Symptom or risk

Prompts and models that guess more win the comparison, and in production the assistant invents policy when evidence is missing.

Exceptions

Tasks that must always return an answer, such as ranking, need calibrated confidence instead.

Trade-offs

Too high a penalty yields an assistant that abstains on answerable questions; track abstention on answerable items.

Pitfalls

Building the eval set only from answerable questions.

Lessons and concepts

Claims and their sources

  • Kalai et al. (2025 preprint, evolving research) argue that hallucinations persist because training and evaluation reward guessing over acknowledging uncertainty, and propose scoring benchmarks so abstaining is not penalised.

    Why Language Models Hallucinate